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Mars Is a Cover Story: A 96% Certainty 

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I’m not a PhD. I’m an A&P — I hold an FAA ticket, and I’ve seen what happens when engineers forget real-world failure modes. I started at 73%. I’m now at 96% that Mars is a cover story.

1. Domed Cities? Structural Failure in <2 Years

Mars radiation: 250 µSv/day + 30 Sv solar storms.

  • Shielding needed: 5–10 m regolith.
  • Shielding on manifest: 0 lbs.

Inflatable habitats? I’ve pressure-tested Bigelow modules.
They’re fine in LEO. On Mars?

  • Micrometeorite punctures
  • Thermal cycling cracks
  • No repair crew

Verdict: Unsurvivable.

 
2. Solar Panels? Clogged, Dead, and Buried in 90 Days

Dust storms: 3–6 months, 99.5 % blackout.

  • Battery backup needed: 10,000+ tons.
  • On the ship: 0 tons.

I’ve cleaned pitot tubes in harsh conditions.
Mars dust is electrostatic, perchlorate-laced, and sticks like glue.
No wipers. No blowers. No tilt.
Verdict: Power failure in Year 1.

3. No Nuclear = No Power = No Colony

  • Kilopower: Works on paper. Not flying.
  • 1 MW reactor: Needs shielded fuel cask — no slot in cargo bay.
  • Solar + batteries: Math doesn’t close.

I’ve started APUs in -40°F.
You don’t run a base on hope and solar panels.
Verdict: Dead on arrival.

 
4. Underground Is the Only Fix — and We’re Not Drilling

Lava tubes = natural hangar.

  • Need: Drill rig, mapper, seals.
  • On manifest: Zip.

I’ve worked in blazing heat-114 degrees +
You don’t “land and live” on the surface.
You dig in or die.
Verdict: No habitat plan.

 
5. Crew Arrives Broken — and Stays That Way

6–9 months in 0 g:

  • Muscle loss: 50 %
  • Bone loss: 20 %
  • Vision damage: SANS

On Mars (0.38 g):

  • Rehab: 3–6 months minimum
  • No med bay, no physical therapy gear, no staff

These “colonists”?
Can’t turn a wrench for months.
Verdict: Useless on arrival.

 

6. The Real Job: Orbital Heavy Lift — Mars Is the Distraction

  • Ships 34–37: No tiles. No payload doors.
  • Flight 10: Flew empty.
  • 2026 “Mars” fleet: No reactor, no drill, no med bay.

Real cargo:

  • Vandenberg S4
  • Golden Dome interceptors
  • Starshield sensor arrays

Mars keeps the dreamers dreaming and the budget flowing.
The real mission is in orbit.

My Confidence (A&P Logic)

  • 73 %: Payload math didn’t add up.
  • 87 %: Solar + domes = structural failure.
  • 96 %: No power, no shelter, no crew recovery.
 

Published by Editor, Sammy Campbell.

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